Special: Tony Awards Predictions

Theater’s biggest night is tonight. Here’s how I think the awards will go down.

Best Musical:
The Band’s Visit
Frozen
Mean Girls
SpongeBob SquarePants: The Broadway Musical
 

  • What Will Win: SpongeBob SquarePants: The Broadway Musical
  • What Could Beat It: The Band’s Visit

Best Play:
The Children
Farinelli and The King
Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two,
Junk
Latin History for Morons

  • What Will Win: Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two
  • What Could Beat It: Junk

Best Revival of a Musical:
My Fair Lady
Once On This Island
Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel

  • What Will Win: My Fair Lady
  • What Could Beat It: Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel

Best Revival of a Play:
Angels in America
Edward Albee’s Three Tall Women
Eugene O’Neill’s The Iceman Cometh
Lobby Hero
Travesties

  • What Will Win: Angels in America
  • What Could Beat It: Edward Albee’s Three Tall Women

Best Actress in a Musical:
Lauren Ambrose, My Fair Lady
Hailey Kilgore, Once On This Island
LaChanze, Summer: The Donna Summer Musical
Katrina Lenk, The Band’s Visit
Taylor Louderman, Mean Girls
Jessie Mueller, Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel

  • Who Will Win: Lauren Ambrose, My Fair Lady
  • Who Could Beat Her: Jessie Mueller, Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel

Best Actor in a Musical:
Harry Hadden-Paton, My Fair Lady
Joshua Henry, Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel
Tony Shalhoub, The Band’s Visit
Ethan Slater, SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical

  • Who Will Win: Ethan Slater, SponeBob SquarePants: The Musical
  • Who Could Beat Him: Joshua Henry, Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel

Best Actress in a Play:

Glenda Jackson, Edward Albee’s Three Tall Women
Condola Rashad, Saint Joan
Lauren Ridloff, Children of a Lesser God
Amy Schumer, Meteor Shower

  • Who Will Win: Glenda Jackson, Edward Albee’s Three Tall Women
  • Who Could Beat Her: Lauren Ridloff, Children of a Lesser God

Best Actor in a Play:
Andrew Garfield, Angels in America
Tom Hollander, Travesties
Jamie Parker, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two
Mark Rylance, Farinelli and the King
Denzel Washington, The Iceman Cometh

  • Who Will Win: Andrew Garfield, Angels in America
  • Who Could Beat Him: Denzel Washington, The Iceman Cometh

Best Book of a Musical:
The Band’s Visit, Itamar Moses
Frozen, Jennifer Lee
Mean Girls, Tina Fey
SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical, Kyle Jarrow

  • What Will Win: Mean Girls, Tina Fey
  • What Could Beat It: The Band’s Visit, Itamar Moses

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre:

Angels in America, Adrian Sutton
The Band’s Visit, David Yazbek
Frozen, Kristen Anderson-Lopez and Robert Lopez
Mean Girls, Jeff Richmond and Nell Benjamin
SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical, Various Contributors

  • What Will Win: SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical, Various Contributors
  • What Could Beat It: Angels in America, Adrian Sutton

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical:
Norbert Leo Butz, My Fair Lady
Alexander Gemignani, Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel
Grey Henson, Mean Girls
Gavin Lee, SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical
Ari’el Stachel, The Band’s Visit

  • Who Will Win: Norbert Leo Butz, My Fair Lady
  • Who Could Beat Him: Ari’el Stachel, The Band’s Visit

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical:
Ariana DeBose, Summer: The Donna Summer Musical
Renée Fleming, Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel
Lindsay Mendez, Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel
Ashley Park, Mean Girls
Diana Rigg, My Fair Lady

  • Who Will Win: Lindsay Mendez, Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel
  • Who Could Beat Her: Ashley Park, Mean Girls

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play:
Susan Brown, Angels in America
Noma Dumezweni, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two
Deborah Findlay, The Children
Denise Gough, Angels in America
Laurie Metcalf, Edward Albee’s Three Tall Women

  • Who Will Win: Denise Gough, Angels in America
  • Who Could Beat Her: Laurie Metcalf, Edward Albee’s Three Tall Women

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play:
Anthony Boyle, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two
Michael Cera, Lobby Hero
Brian Tyree Henry, Lobby Hero
Nathan Lane, Angels in America
David Morse, Eugene O’Neill’s The Iceman Cometh

  • Who Will Win: Nathan Lane, Angels in America
  • Who Could Beat Him: Anthony Boyle, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two

Best Scenic Design of a Play:
Miriam Buether, Edward Albee’s Three Tall Women

Jonathan Fensom, Farinelli and The King

Christine Jones, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two

Santo Loquasto, Eugene O’Neill’s The Iceman Cometh
Ian MacNeil and Edward Pierce, Angels in America

  • Who Will Win: Ian MacNeil and Edward Pierce, Angels in America
  • Who Could Beat Them: Miriam Buether, Three Tall Women

Best Scenic Design of a Musical:
Dane Laffrey, Once On This Island
Scott Pask, The Band’s Visit
Scott Pask, Finn Ross & Adam Young, Mean Girls
Michael Yeargan, My Fair Lady
David Zinn, SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical

  • Who Will Win: Michael Yeargan, My Fair Lady
  • Who Could Beat Him: David Zinn, SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical

Best Costume Design of a Play:
Jonathan Fensom, Farinelli and The King
Nicky Gillibrand, Angels in America
Katrina Lindsay, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two
Ann Roth, Three Tall Women
Ann Roth, The Iceman Cometh

  • Who Will Win: Jonathan Fensom, Farinelli and The King
  • Who Could Beat Him: Katrina Lindsay, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two

Best Costume Design of a Musical:
Gregg Barnes, Mean Girls
Clint Ramos, Once On This Island
Ann Roth, Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel
David Zinn, SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical
Catherine Zuber, My Fair Lady

  • Who Will Win: Catherine Zuber, My Fair Lady
  • Who Could Beat Her: Clint Ramos, Once On This Island

Best Lighting Design of a Play:
Neil Austin, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two

Paule Constable, Angels in America
Jules Fisher + Peggy Eisenhauer, The Iceman Cometh
Paul Russell, Farinelli and The King
Ben Stanton, Junk

  • Who Will Win: Neil Austin, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two
  • Who Could Beat Him: Paule Constable, Angels in America

Best Lighting Design of a Musical:
Kevin Adams, SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical
Jules Fisher + Peggy Eisenhauer, Once On This Island

Donald Holder, My Fair Lady

Brian MacDevitt, Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel
Tyler Micoleau, The Band’s Visit

  • Who Will Win: Jules Fisher + Peggy Eisenhauer, Once On This Island
  • Who Could Beat Them: Kevin Adams, SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical

Best Direction of a Play:
Marianne Elliott, Angels in America
Joe Mantello, Edward Albee’s Three Tall Women
Patrick Marber, Travesties
John Tiffany, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two
George C. Wolfe, The Iceman Cometh

  • Who Will Win: John Tiffany, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two
  • Who Could Beat Him: Marianne Elliott, Angels in America

Best Direction of a Musical:

Michael Arden, Once On This Island
David Cromer, The Band’s Visit
Tina Landau, SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical
Casey Nicholaw, Mean Girls
Bartlett Sher, My Fair Lady

  • Who Will Win: Tina Landau, SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical
  • Who Could Beat Her: Bartlett Sher, My Fair Lady

Best Choreography:

Christopher Gattelli, My Fair Lady
Christopher Gattelli, SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical
Steven Hoggett, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two
Casey Nicholaw, Mean Girls
Justin Peck, Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel

  • Who Will Win: Justin Peck, Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel
  • Who Could Beat Him: Casey Nicholaw, Mean Girls

Best Orchestrations:
John Clancy, Mean Girls
Tom Kitt, SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical
Annmarie Milazzo & Michael Starobin, Once On This Island
Jamshied Sharifi, The Band’s Visit
Jonathan Tunick, Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel

  • Who Will Win: Jonathan Tunick, Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel
  • Who Could Beat Him: John Clancy, Mean Girls

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